[E-rundbrief] Info 1533 - J. Gerson: Imperial NATO: Before and After Brexit
Matthias Reichl
info at begegnungszentrum.at
Mi Jul 6 09:58:20 CEST 2016
E-Rundbrief - Info 1533 - Joseph Gerson (USA): Imperial NATO: Before
and After Brexit. Our interests and survival depend on Common Security
diplomacy rather than the repeated and deadly failures of militarism.
Bad Ischl, 6.7.2016
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Imperial NATO: Before and After Brexit
Our interests and survival depend on Common Security diplomacy rather
than the repeated and deadly failures of militarism
Joseph Gerson
Tuesday, July 05, 2016
Common Dreams
http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/07/05/imperial-nato-and-after-brexit
"In the face of what may be the slow motion breakup of the European
Union under pressure from Euro skeptics, look for U.S. and allied
European elites to increase their commitments to the sixty-seven year
NATO alliance." (Photo: suviih/flickr/cc)
In his first public response to the Brexit vote that has shaken Europe
and much of the world, President Obama sought to reassure Americans
and others. He urged us not to give into hysteria and stressed that
NATO did not disappear with Brexit. The Trans-Atlantic alliance, he
reminded the world, endures.1 In the face of what may be the slow
motion breakup of the European Union under pressure from Euro
skeptics, look for U.S. and allied European elites to increase their
commitments to the sixty-seven year NATO alliance. The hysteria that
was manufactured in the wake of Russia’s seizure of Crimea and
intervention in eastern Ukraine and fears of the fallout from the
continuing wars and catastrophes in the Middle East will serve as
NATO’s selling points.
As we face the future, either/or thinking and NATO need to be left behind.
But, as we face the future, either/or thinking and NATO need to be
left behind. As even President Carter’s National Security Advisor
Zbigniew Brzezinski taught, since its inception NATO has been an
imperial project.2 Rather than creating a new, full-blown and
extremely dangerous Cold War, our interests and survival depend on
Common Security diplomacy3 rather than the repeated and deadly
failures of militarism.
This does not mean turning blind eyes to Putin’s assault on free
speech and democracy, or to Moscow’s nuclear saber rattling and
cyberattacks.4 But it does mean that we should be mindful that Common
Security diplomacy ended the Cold War, that repressive and brutal
though Putin may be, he arrested Russia’s calamitous Yeltsin-era
freefall, and he played critical roles in the elimination of Syria’s
chemical weapons and the P-5+1 nuclear deal with Iran. We also need
to acknowledge that with two million people in U.S. prisons, including
Guantanamo, the embrace of the Poland’s autocratic government and
Saudi monarchy, and the militarized “Pivot to Asia” the U.S. leads a
not-so-free world.
Zero-sum thinking is not in anyone’s interest. There are Common
Security alternatives to today’s increasing and dangerous military
tensions.
We oppose NATO because of its neo-colonial domination of most of
Europe, its roles in imperial wars and domination, the existential
nuclear threat it poses to human survival, and because it diverts
funds from essential social services, truncating lives in the U.S. and
other nations.
William Faulkner wrote that “the past isn’t dead, that it isn’t even
past,” a truth that reverberates with the Brexit vote. Our approach to
the present and to the future must thus be informed by the tragedies
of history. Central and Eastern European nations including Poland have
been conquered, ruled and oppressed by Lithuanians, Swedes, Germans,
Tatars, Ottomans and Russians –as well as by home grown despots. And
Poland was once the imperial power in Ukraine.
Given this history and other considerations, it’s madness to risk
nuclear annihilation to enforce the borders at any given moment. And
as we learned from the Common Security resolution of the Cold War, our
survival depends on challenging traditional security thinking.
Spiraling tensions that come with military alliances, arms races,
military-industrial complexes and chauvinistic nationalism can be
overcome with commitments to mutual respect.
1913?
This is an era with similarities to the years preceding the First
World War. The world is marked by rising and declining powers anxious
to retain or expand their privilege and power. We have arms races with
new technologies; resurgent nationalism, territorial disputes,
resource competition, complex alliance arrangements, economic
integration and competition, and wild card actors including a U.S.
Secretary of Defense who prepares for the NATO summit by imitating
gangster movies by saying “You try anything, you’re going to be
sorry”,5 as well as right-wing forces across the U.S. and Europe, and
murderous religious fanatics.
Remembering the consequences of the bullets fired by an assassin’s gun
in Sarajevo a century ago, we have reason to worry about what might
happen if a frightened or overly aggressive U.S., Russian or Polish
soldier, pushed beyond their limits, in anger or by accident, fires
the anti-aircraft missile that brings down a U.S., NATO or another
Russian warplane.
Competing NATO and Russian military exercises are ratcheting up
military tensions to the point that former U.S. Secretary of Defense
Perry warns that nuclear war is now more likely than during the cold
war.6 Carl Conetta was right when he wrote “NATO’s militaristic
response” to Russia in Ukraine “is a perfect example of reflective
action-reaction cycles.” Moscow, he explains, lacks “the will to
suicide…it has no intention of attacking NATO.”7 Last month’s
Anaconda-2016, involving 31,000 NATO troops – 14,000 of them here in
Poland - and troops from 24 countries was the largest war game in
Eastern Europe since the Cold War.8 Imagine Washington’s response if
Russia or China conducted similar war games on the Mexican border.
Given NATO’s expansions to its borders; its new tactical headquarters
in Poland and Romania; its increased military deployments and
provocative military exercises across Eastern Europe, the Baltic
states, Scandinavia and the Black Sea, as well as by the U.S.
quadrupling its military spending for Europe, we shouldn’t be
surprised that Russia is attempting to “counterbalance” NATO’s
buildup. And, with Washington’s first-strike related missile defenses
in Romania and Poland and its superiority in conventional, high-tech
and space weapons, we should be alarmed but not surprised by Moscow’s
increased reliance on nuclear weapons.
Remembering the consequences of the bullets fired by an assassin’s gun
in Sarajevo a century ago, we have reason to worry about what might
happen if a frightened or overly aggressive U.S., Russian or Polish
soldier, pushed beyond their limits, in anger or by accident, fires
the anti-aircraft missile that brings down a U.S., NATO or another
Russian warplane. As the trilateral European-Russian-U.S. Deep Cuts
Commission concluded “In the atmosphere of deep mutual mistrust, the
increased intensity of potentially hostile military activities in
close proximity - and particularly air force and naval activities in
the Baltic and the Black Sea areas – may result in further dangerous
military incidents which…. may lead to miscalculation and/or accidents
and spin off in unintended ways.”9 People are human. Accidents happen.
Systems are built to respond – sometimes automatically.
An Imperial Alliance
NATO is an imperial alliance. Beyond the ostensible goal of containing
the USSR, NATO has made it possible to integrate European governments,
economies, militaries, technologies and societies into U.S. dominated
systems. NATO has ensured U.S. access to military bases for
interventions across the Greater Middle East and Africa. And, as
Michael T. Glennon wrote, with the 1999 war against Serbia, the U.S.
and NATO "with little discussion and less fanfare ... effectively
abandoned the old U.N. Charter rules that strictly limit international
intervention in local conflicts…in favor of a vague new system that is
much more tolerant of military intervention but has few hard and fast
rules." It is thus understandable that Putin adopted the slogan “New
rules or no rules, with his commitment to the former.10
Sometimes the U.S. “national security” elite tell the truth.
Since the war on Serbia, contrary to the U.N. Charter, the U.S. and
NATO invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, destroyed Libya, and eight NATO
nations are now at war in Syria. But we have the irony of NATO
Secretary General Stoltenberg saying that there can be no business as
usual until Russia respects international law.11
Recall that NATO’s first secretary general, Lord Ismay explained that
the alliance was designed “to keep the Germans down, the Russians out
and the Americans in”, which is not the way to build a common European
home. It was created before the Warsaw Pact, when Russia was still
reeling from the Nazi devastation. Unfair though it was, the Yalta
agreement which divided Europe into U.S. and Soviet spheres, was seen
by U.S. policy makers as the price to be paid for Moscow having driven
Hitler’s forces across eastern and central Europe. With the history of
Napoleon, the Kaiser and Hitler, the U.S. establishment understood
that Stalin had reason to fear future invasions from the West. The
U.S. was thus complicit in Moscow’s repressive colonization of Eastern
European and Baltic nations.
Sometimes the U.S. “national security” elite tell the truth. Zbigniew
Brzezinski, formerly President Carter’s National Security Advisor,
published a primer describing how what he termed the U.S. "imperial
project"12 works. Geostrategically, he explained, dominance over the
Eurasian heartland is essential to being the world’s dominant power.
To project coercive power into the Eurasian heartland, as an "island
power" not located in Eurasia, the U.S. requires toeholds on Eurasia’s
western, southern and eastern peripheries. What Brzezinski termed
“vassal state” NATO allies, make possible ‘entrench[ment of] American
political influence and military power on the Eurasian mainland." In
the wake of the Brexit vote, U.S. and European elites will rely even
more heavily on NATO in their effort to hold Europe together and to
reinforce U.S. influence.
There is more than integrating European territory, resources and
technologies into the U.S. dominated systems. As former Secretary of
War Rumsfeld put it, in the tradition of divide and conquer, by
playing New (Eastern and Central) Europe against Old Europe in the
West, Washington won French, German and the Dutch support for the war
to depose Saddam Hussein.
And with what even the New York Times describes as “right-wing,
nationalist assault on the country’s media and judiciary” and the
“retreat from the fundamental values of liberal democracy” by the
Kacynski government, the U.S. has had no hesitation in making Poland
the eastern hub of NATO.13 Washington’s rhetoric about its
commitments to democracy is belied by its long history of supporting
dictators and repressive regimes in Europe, monarchies like the
Saudis, as well as by its wars of conquest from the Philippines and
Vietnam to Iraq and Libya.
Washington’s European toehold has also reinforced its hold on Southern
Eurasia’s resource rich periphery. NATO’s wars in Afghanistan and the
Middle East follow in the tradition of European colonialism. Before
the Ukraine crisis, the Pentagon’s strategic guidance14 tasked NATO
with ensuring control of mineral resources and trade while reinforcing
the encirclement of China as well as Russia.15 Thus NATO adopted its
"out of area operations" doctrine, making what Secretary Kerry termed
“expedition missions” in Africa, the Middle East, and beyond the
alliance’s primary purpose.16
Essential to “out of area” operations has been U.S. drone warfare
including the Obama kill lists and U.S. and NATO extra-judicial drone
assassinations, many of which have claimed civilian lives. This, in
turn, has metastasized rather than eliminated extremist resistance and
terrorism. Fifteen NATO nations participate in the Alliance Ground
Surveillance (AGS) drone system operated from a NATO base in Italy,
with NATO’s Global Hawk killer drones operated from the Ramstein Air
Base in Germany.17
Ukraine and NATO's Expansion
An increasing number of U.S. strategic analysts, including former
Commander in Chief of the U.S. Strategic Command General Lee Butler
have said that U.S. post-Cold War “triumphalism,” treating Russia like
a “dismissed serf,” and NATO’s expansion to Russia’s boarders despite
the Bush I-Gorbachev agreement precipitated today’s spiraling military
tensions with Russia.18 Russia did not precipitate the Ukraine crisis.
NATO’s expansion to Russia’s borders, Ukraine’s designation as a NATO
“aspirant” country, and the Kosovo and Iraq War precedents each played
their roles.
What have the coup and civil war brought us? One set of corrupt
oligarchs replacing another. Death and suffering. Fascist forces once
allied with Hitler now part of Ukraine’s ruling elite, and hardliners
in Washington, Moscow, and across Europe reinforced.
This is not to say that Putin is innocent as he revitalizes his
corrupt neo-Tsarist state and campaigns to reassert Russian political
influence in its “near abroad” and Europe itself, and as he hitches
Russia’s economy and military to China. But, on our side, we have
Secretary Kerry’s Orwellian doublespeak. He decried Moscow’s
“incredible act of aggression” in Ukraine, saying “you just don’t in
the 21st century behave in 19th century fashion by invading another
country on [a] completely trumped up pretext.”19 Afghanistan, Iraq,
Syria, and Libya disappeared down his memory hole!
Great powers have long intervened in Ukraine, and this was the case
with the Maidan coup. Leading up to the coup, Washington and the E.U.
poured billions of dollars into developing and nurturing Ukrainian
allies to turn the former Soviet republic away from Moscow and toward
the West. Many forget the E. U.’s ultimatum to the corrupt Yanukovych
government: Ukraine could take the next steps toward E.U. membership
only by burning its bridges to Moscow, to which eastern Ukraine had
been economically tied for decades. As tensions built in Kiev, CIA
Director Brennan, Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland –famous
for her “fuck the E.U.” disrespect of Washington’s vassals – and
Senator McCain journeyed to Maidan to encourage revolution. And, once
the shooting began, the U.S. and the E.U. failed to hold their
Ukrainian allies to the April Geneva power sharing agreement.
The truth is that both the Western political interventions and
Russia’s annexation of Crimea violated the Budapest Memorandum of
1994, which committed the powers to “respect the independence,
sovereignty and existing borders of Ukraine,”20 and to “refrain from
the threat of use of force against the territorial integrity or
political independence of Ukraine." What was it that Hitler said about
treaties being just scraps of paper?
What have the coup and civil war brought us? One set of corrupt
oligarchs replacing another.21 Death and suffering. Fascist forces
once allied with Hitler now part of Ukraine’s ruling elite, and
hardliners in Washington, Moscow, and across Europe reinforced.
From early on, the realistic alternative was creation of a neutral
Ukraine, tied economically to both the E.U. and Russia.
NATO: A Nuclear Alliance
In addition to the Ukraine crisis, we now have Washington’s and NATO’s
campaign to topple the Assad dictatorship and Russia’s military
intervention in Syria to reinforce its Middle East military and
political toehold. Russia won’t abandon Assad, and enforcing the
“no-fly” zone that Hillary Clinton advocates would require destruction
of Russian anti-aircraft missile, risking military escalation.
Friends, we are told that U.S. nuclear weapons are deployed only to
deter possible nuclear attacks. But, as Bush the Lesser’s Pentagon
informed the world, their primary purpose is to prevent other nations
from taking actions that are inimical to U.S. interests.
Ukraine and Syria remind us that NATO is a nuclear alliance, and that
the dangers of a catastrophic nuclear exchange did not disappear with
the end of the Cold War. Once again we hear the madness that “NATO
will not be able to leave things at conventional armament” and that a
“Credible deterrent will involve nuclear weapons…”22
How serious is the nuclear danger? Putin tells us that he considered
the possible use of nuclear weapons to reinforce Russian control of
Crimea. And, Daniel Ellsberg reported that U.S. and Russian nuclear
forces were on high alert in the early stages of the Ukraine crisis.23
Friends, we are told that U.S. nuclear weapons are deployed only to
deter possible nuclear attacks. But, as Bush the Lesser’s Pentagon
informed the world, their primary purpose is to prevent other nations
from taking actions that are inimical to U.S. interests.24 Since they
were first deployed, these weapons have been used for more than
classical deterrence.
Former Secretary of War Harold Brown testified that they serve another
purpose. With nuclear weapons, he testified, U.S. conventional forces
became "meaningful instruments of military and political power." Noam
Chomsky explains that this means "we have succeeded in sufficiently
intimidating anyone who might help protect people who we are
determined to attack."25
Beginning with the Iran crisis of 1946 – before the Soviet Union was a
nuclear power – through the Bush-Obama “all options are on the table”
threats against Iran, nuclear weapons in Europe have served as the
ultimate enforcers of US Middle East hegemony. U.S. nuclear weapons in
Europe were placed on alert during Nixon’s “madman” nuclear
mobilization to intimidate Vietnam, Russia and China, and they were
likely placed on alert during other Asian wars and crises.26
NATO’s nuclear weapons serve yet another purpose: preventing the
"decoupling" from the United States. During the 2010 Lisbon Summit, in
order to limit NATO member states’ options, “widely shared
responsibility for deployment and operational support” for nuclear war
preparations was reaffirmed. More, it was proclaimed that “Any change
in this policy, including the geographic distribution of NATO nuclear
deployments in Europe, should be made … by the Alliance as a
whole…Broad participation of the non-nuclear Allies is an essential
sign of transatlantic solidarity and risk sharing."27 And now, on the
eve of the NATO summit and the deployment of new B-61-12 nuclear
warheads in Europe, General Breedlove, until recently NATO’s Supreme
Commander, has insisted that the U.S. must enhance its nuclear
exercises with its NATO allies to demonstrate their “resolve and
capability.”28
Common Security Alternative to NATO
Friends, history is moved and governmental policies are changed by
popular force from below. That’s how we won greater civil rights in
the U.S., led Congress to cut off funding for the Vietnam war, and
together we forced Reagan to begin the disarmament negotiations with
Gorbachev. It’s how the Berlin Wall was breached and Soviet
colonialism was relegated to history’s dustbin.
The challenge we face is to respond to NATO’s imperialism and to the
increasing dangers of great power war with the imagination and urgency
required by our times.
The challenge we face is to respond to NATO’s imperialism and to the
increasing dangers of great power war with the imagination and urgency
required by our times. Neither Poland and Russia nor Washington and
Moscow will be living in harmony any time soon, but Common Security
provides a path to such a future.
Common Security embraces the ancient truth that a person or a nation
cannot be secure if their actions lead their neighbor or rival to be
more fearful and insecure. At the height of the Cold War, when the
30,000 nuclear weapons threatened apocalypse, Swedish Prime Minister
Palme brought together leading U.S., European and Soviet figures to
explore ways to step back from the brink.29 Common Security was their
answer. It led to the negotiation of the Intermediate Nuclear Forces
Treaty, which functionally ended the Cold War in 1987.
In essence, each side names what the other is doing that causes it
fear and insecurity. The second party does the same. Then, in
difficult negotiations diplomats discern actions each side can take
steps to reduce the other’s fear without undermining their country’s
security. As Reiner Braun explained, it requires that “the interests
of others are seen as legitimate and have to be taken into account in
[one’s] decision making process…Common security means negotiation,
dialogue and cooperation; it implies peaceful resolution of conflicts.
Security can be achieved only by a joint effort or not at all.”30
What might a Common Security order look like? Negotiations to create
a neutral Ukraine with regional autonomy for its provinces and
economic ties to both Russia and the West would end that war and
create a more secure foundation for improved relations between Europe
and Russia and between the great powers. The Deep Cuts Commission
recommends that enhancing the role of the OSCE is “the single
multilateral platform on which dialogue on relevant security concerns
can and should be resumed without delay.”31 In time it should replace
NATO. Other Deep Cuts Commission recommendations include:
Giving priority to U.S.-Russian negotiations to restrain and
address the intense military buildup and military tensions in the
Baltic area.
“[P]revent[ing] dangerous military incidents by establishing
specific rules of conduct…and revive dialogue on nuclear risk
reduction measures.”
U.S. and Russia committing to resolve their differences of
compliance with the INF Treaty and eliminating the growing dangers of
nuclear-armed cruise missile development and deployments.
Addressing the growing danger of hyper-sonic strategic weapons.
And, while the Commission calls for restraint in nuclear weapons
modernization, clearly our goal should be an end to the development
and deployment of these omnicidal weapons.
With reduced military spending, Common Security also means greater
economic security, with more money for essential social services, to
contain and reverse the devastations of climate change, and investment
in 21st century infrastructures.
Another world is, indeed possible. No to NATO. No to War! Our
thousand-mile journey begins with our single steps.
____________________________
1.
http://www.npr.org/2016/06/28/483768326/obama-cautions-against-hysteria-over-brexit-vote
2. Zbigniew Brzezinski. The Grand Chessboard, Basic Books, New York: 1997.
3. The Independent Commission on Disarmament and Security Issues.
Common Security: A Blueprint for Survival. New York: Simon & Schuster,
1982. The Commission, initiated by Prime Minister Palme of Sweden,
brought together leading figures from the Soviet Union, Europe and the
United States at the height of the Cold War. Their Common Security
alternative provided the paradigm which led to the negotiation of the
Intermediate Nuclear Forces Agreement which functionally ended the
Cold War in 1987, before the collapse of the Berlin Wall and implosion
of the Soviet Union.
4. David Sanger. “As Russian Hackers Attack, NATO Lacks a Clear
Cyberwar Strategy”, New York Times, June 17, 2016
5.
http://www.defense.gov/News/News-Transcripts/Transcript-View/Article/788073/remarks-by-secretary-carter-at-a-troop-event-at-fort-huachuca-arizona
6. William J. Perry. My Journey at the Nuclear Brink, Stanford:
Stanford University Press, 2015.
7. Carl Connetta. Blog, “RAMPING IT UP”
8. Alex Dubal Smith. “Nato countries begin largest war game in eastern
Europe since cold war.” The Guardian, June 7, 2016
9. “Back from the Brink: Toward Restraint and Dialogue between Russia
and the West”, Brookings Institution: Washington, D.C., June, 2016,
http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2016/06/russia-west-nato-restraint-dialogue
10. Michael J. Glennon. “The Search for a Just International Law”
Foreign Affairs, May/June, 1999,
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/1999-05-01/new-interventionism-search-just-international-law
;
https://marknesop.wordpress.com/2014/12/07/new-rules-or-no-rules-putin-defies-the-newworld-order/
11. Carter on NATO vs. Russia: 'You Try Anything, You're Going to Be
Sorry', PJ Media, June 1, 2016,
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/2016/06/01/carter-on-nato-vs-russia-you-try-anything-youre-going-to-be-sorry/
12. Zbigniew Brzezinski. Op Cit.
13. “Poland Deviates from Democracy” Lead editorial, New York Times,
January 13, 2016/
14. John Pilger. A World War is Beckoning”, Counterpunch,
http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/05/14/a-world-war-is-beckoning
15. Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century
Defense, January, 2012.
http://www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf
16. John Kerry. “Remarks at the Atlantic council’s ‘Toward a Europe
Whole and Free’ Conference”, April 29, 2014,
http://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2014/04/225380.htm
17. Nigel Chamberlain, “NATO Drones: the ‘game changers” NATO Watch,
Sept. 26, 2013.
18.
https://www.publicintegrity.org/2016/05/27/19731/former-senior-us-general-again-calls-abolishing-nuclear-forces-he-once-commanded’
Neil MacFarquhar. “Reviled, Revered, and Still Challenging Russia to
Evolve”, International New York times, June 2. 18
http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/policy-budget/policy/2016/04/11/business-usual-russia-unlikely-nato-leader-says/82902184/
19. John Kerry. Kerry on Russia: “You just don’t” invade another
country “on a completely trumped up pretext”, Salon.com,
http://www.salon.com/2014/03/02/kerry_on_russia_you_just_dont_invade_another_country_on_a_completely_trumped_up_pretext/
20. Jeffrey. “Ukraine and the 1994 Budapest Memorandum”,
http://armscontrolwonk.com, 29 April, 2014.
21. Andrew E. Karmer. “Elected as Reformists, Ukraine’s Leaders
Struggle with Legacy of Corruption.” New York Times, June 7, 2016
22. Bern Riegert. Op Cit.
23. Daniel Ellsberg, talk in Cambridge, Massachusetts, May 13, 2014.
Ellsberg was a senior U.S. nuclear war planner in the Kennedy, Johnson
and Nixon administrations before making the Pentagon’s secret history
of Vietnam War decision making public
24. Department of Defense. Doctrine for Joint Nuclear operations,
Joint Publication 3-12, 15 March, 2015
25. Joseph Gerson, Op Cit. p. 31
26. Ibid. pp. 37-38
27. “NATO 2020: assured security; dynamic engagement”, May 17, 2010,
http://www.nato.int/strategic-concept/strategic-concept-report.html
28. Philip M. Breedlove. “NATO’s Next Act: how to Handle Russia and
Other Threats”, Foreign Affairs, July/August, 2016
29.
http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/reports/2016/06/21-back-brink-dialogue-restraint-russia-west-nato-pifer/deep-cuts-commission-third-report-june-2016.pdf
30. Reiner Braun. International Meeting, 2014 World Conference against
Atomic & Hydrogen Bombs, Hiroshima, August 2, 2014.
31. “Back from the Brink” op. cit.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike
3.0 License
Dr. Joseph Gerson is Director of Programs of the American Friends
Service Committee in New England. His most recent book is Empire and
the Bomb: How the US Uses Nuclear Weapons to Dominate the World. His
previous books include The Sun Never Sets and With Hiroshima Eyes.
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